Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.218229 0.247876 0.279640 0.316157 0.356925 0.400988 0.452165
2026-01-25 0.182254 0.222686 0.268843 0.325255 0.392143 0.468721 0.562819
2026-02-01 0.151915 0.197855 0.253272 0.324651 0.413722 0.520733 0.658519
2026-02-08 0.129005 0.177956 0.239985 0.323683 0.432898 0.569712 0.753085
2026-02-15 0.111034 0.161438 0.228235 0.322222 0.449857 0.615769 0.846117
2026-02-22 0.099692 0.151994 0.224151 0.329537 0.477779 0.676823 0.961768
2026-03-01 0.088061 0.140473 0.215593 0.329222 0.494404 0.722950 1.059496
2026-03-08 0.078493 0.130662 0.208151 0.329253 0.510727 0.768828 1.158813
2026-03-15 0.070534 0.122253 0.201708 0.329739 0.527098 0.815039 1.260552
2026-03-22 0.064898 0.116794 0.199049 0.335379 0.551037 0.873062 1.382124
2026-03-29 0.060591 0.112970 0.198455 0.343904 0.579567 0.939066 1.518676
2026-04-05 0.055713 0.107586 0.194728 0.346866 0.599207 0.992233 1.638103
2026-04-12 0.051892 0.103775 0.193471 0.354106 0.626740 1.060089 1.785579
2026-04-19 0.048728 0.100793 0.193319 0.363097 0.657618 1.134843 1.947897
2026-04-26 0.044316 0.094957 0.187570 0.361839 0.671032 1.182001 2.068255
2026-05-03 0.040378 0.089563 0.182070 0.360447 0.683891 1.228648 2.189844
2026-05-10 0.036818 0.084494 0.176659 0.358662 0.695720 1.273903 2.311052
2026-05-17 0.034798 0.082347 0.176562 0.366619 0.725266 1.350549 2.488654
2026-05-24 0.032017 0.078257 0.172281 0.366219 0.739411 1.401089 2.623705
2026-05-31 0.029550 0.074555 0.168407 0.366224 0.754140 1.453164 2.763602
2026-06-07 0.027366 0.071223 0.164964 0.366743 0.769725 1.507330 2.909439
2026-06-14 0.025891 0.069353 0.164388 0.372941 0.796483 1.582850 3.096667
2026-06-21 0.024795 0.068255 0.165347 0.382317 0.829911 1.672063 3.312457